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Monday, April 13, 2009

Lebanese Chess: Remembering Fallujah

Lebanese Chess: Remembering Fallujah
Posted by William deB. Mills

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U.S.-Iran Relations

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"Governing for the People" Newsletter
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Watching the World

  • Mondoweiss
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    17 hours ago
  • Democracy Now!
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    2 days ago
  • Syria Comment
    Why America and Israel need a new Iran strategy - Mobilization of Arab resources to crowd Iran out is more practical than using US power or Israeli covert ops to subjugate Iran or to coercively roll it b...
    3 years ago
  • From the field
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  • Gary's Choices
    The Art of No Deal - The Art of No Deal: *I asked myself what would happen if President Trump was serious about transforming the JCPOA in his own image. My answer (a bit lon...
    7 years ago
  • EA WorldView
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    8 years ago
  • بنسبة لنا
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    9 years ago
  • Friday Lunch Club
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    9 years ago
  • Just Foreign Policy - Daily News
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  • The Race for Iran
    Race for Iran Is Going to Tehran - With the impending publication of our Going to Tehran: Why the United States Must Come to Terms with the Islamic Republic of Iran, we have decided to move...
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  • Iran in the World
    Weekly roundup - Articles and reports from the past week “Calibrating the dual-track approach of sanctions and diplomacy” With the EU and the US passing additional sanction...
    14 years ago
  • Coteret
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Show 10 Show All
Nel mezzo del cammin di nostra vita
mi ritrovai per una selva oscura,
che la diritta via era smarrita.

Global Questions

1) Civilian Deaths: Drones vs Terrorism
What is the moral distinction between civilians being killed by Predator drones or terrorism?

2) Who Are the Bad Guys in Afghanistan?
Are the 'bad guys' al Qua'ida, the Taliban, or the drug-dealing, US-allied Northern Alliance?

3) Islamic Radicalism: Cause or Effect?
Is the insurgency in Afghanistan & Pakistan a threat for the U.S. to resolve or a response to the U.S. military presence?

4) Two States or One Democracy?
Can the world afford a Jewish state + a Palestinian state or need we work toward a single genuine, multinational democracy?

Iraqi Deaths From U.S. Invasion

Just Foreign Policy Iraqi Death Estimator

Muslim Africa: Must Read

  • Secret U.S. Drone Base Archipelago
  • The CIA's Secret Sites in Somalia

Afghan Conflict: Must Read

  • A Holiday Season of War
  • Opium, Rape, and the American Way
  • Ellsberg: Obama Fears Military Revolt
  • Creating a Narco-State
  • Afghan War Statistics
  • Global War on Islam
  • U.S. in Afghanistan for Strategic Reasons
  • Transnational Threat of Afghan Opium
  • Congressman Ron Paul on Withdrawal

Iran: Must Read

  • The IRGC
  • Mainstreaming the Mad Iran Bombers
  • Iraq, Afghanistan...and Iran?
  • Farhi: Nuclear Breakthrough Gone Backwards
  • Giraldi: Five Reasons Not to Attack Iran
  • Can Iran Trust Russia & France?

Mideast: Must Read

  • Saudi Popular Grievances & Regime Denial
  • Where Are the Islamists?
  • Obama Supports Egptian Dictatorship
  • Algeria's Protests
  • US War Party Exploits Arab Revolt
  • The Transformation of Hamas
  • Potential U.S. Leverage Over Israel
  • No Partner For Peace: Our America Problem

Enduring Global Issues Newsletter

  • Gaza

IR Theory

  • E-IR
  • Islam & IR
  • Evolutionary World History
  • IR Theory

Statistics

  • U.S. Soldiers Who Fought in Iraq: 1,000,000
  • Mexican deaths in 2007 from drug cartel violence: 2500
  • Hectares of land stolen from displaced Colombians: 2,900,000
  • Pakistani women who die annually during childbirth due to poor medical facilities: 135,000
  • U.S. Troops in Pakistan (Jan. 4, 2008): 50
  • % Drop in Food from Israeli War on Gaza: 59%
  • Israeli Cluster Bombs Dropped on Lebanon: 4,000,000
  • Israeli Residents in Palestine: 440,000
  • Iraq War U.S. brain injuries: 24,000
  • U.S. wounded from Iraq War: 50,000
  • $/day cost of Iraq war to US: $275,000,000
  • Somali refugees: 1,000,000

Engaging Islam Project

Engaging Islam Project
"proud participant in model community project to enhance understanding"

Notable News

  • Stiglitz on Global Economic Reform
  • West Interfering in Pakistani Internal Affairs
  • Nuclear Proliferation by Corrupt U.S. Officials
  • Defending Democracy...in the U.S.
  • Concealed Bush Steps Toward Iran War
  • Pakistani Troops Refuse to Fight Taleban
  • A New Holocaust?
  • Azerbaijan: New Base for US Attack on Iran?
  • Undermining American Democracy
  • Folly of Possible U.S. Attack on Iran
  • 30,000 Endangered by Tripoli Violence
  • Colombian Government Collusion with Paramilitaries
  • Post-US Invasion Iraq Now to Export Heroin
  • Israeli Cluster Bombs in Lebanon
  • Iraq War Cost $500 Billion
  • Walls Dividing Neighbors Around the World
  • Israel Nuclear Plans vis-a-vis Iran
  • Terrorism against Iran

World Affairs Movies

  • Sons of Eilaboun [Ethnic Cleansing of Palestine]

Global Affairs Organizations

  • American Foreign Policy
  • Center for the Study of Terrorism & Political Violence
  • Conflicts Forum
  • Engaging Islam Project
  • Environmentalists Against War
  • Foreign Affairs
  • Foreign Policy
  • Foreign Policy Association
  • Global Exchange
  • Gulf 2000
  • Human Security Report
  • ICAHD (Israel)
  • Institute for Middle East Understanding (IMEU)
  • Institute for Policy Studies
  • Just Foreign Policy
  • Mianeh (Iran)
  • Mianeh (Iran)
  • Middle East Policy Council
  • National Priorities
  • New America Foundation
  • New Iran Policy
  • Peace & Collaborative Network
  • POMED
  • Relief Web
  • Rethink Afghanistan
  • Stop the War Organization
  • TFF
  • The Independent Organization

Global Affairs News Sources

  • Afghan Security Report
  • Ahram
  • Al Manar
  • Alternative Information Center (Levant)
  • Antiwar.com Iran Page
  • Asia Times
  • Common Dreams
  • Coteret
  • Democracy Now
  • European Media Monitor
  • Foreign Policy in Focus
  • Foreign Policy Journal
  • France24
  • Geopolitique
  • Guerrilla News Network
  • Haaretz
  • Hurriyet Daily News
  • I Watch News
  • Information Clearing House
  • Institute for Middle East Understanding
  • Inter Press Services
  • International Middle East Media Center
  • Iran Focus
  • Iran Quest
  • Iran Review
  • Iran Tracker
  • Iraq Slogger
  • IRIN: UN Humanitarian News
  • Khabar
  • McClatchy
  • Media With Conscience
  • MERLIN
  • Middle East Report Online
  • Mideast Monitoring Group
  • Monthly Review
  • Online Journal
  • Pakistan Politics
  • Palestine Note
  • Palestine Review
  • Palestinian Think Tank
  • Pro-Iran
  • Real Clear World
  • Real News
  • Reseau Mondial d'Informations
  • Reseau mondiale d'informations
  • Rooz Online
  • South Asia News
  • Tehran Bureau
  • The Independent
  • The Journal of Turkish Weekly
  • The Nation
  • Truthdig
  • Turkish Daily News
  • Uruknet
  • What Really Happened
  • William Bowles Info
  • Worldwide Socialist Web

Global Affairs Blogs

  • A Look at the Mideast
  • A Tiny Revolution
  • Adam Isaacson on Colombia
  • Afghan Analysts Network
  • All Things Counterterrorism
  • Alternatives International
  • Alternet
  • American Footprints
  • Angry Arab
  • Another Point of View
  • Arab American Journalists
  • Arabist
  • Armies of Liberation
  • Arms Control Wonk
  • Balkinization
  • Beirut Report
  • Ben White
  • Bernard Avishai
  • Big Think
  • Blacksmiths of Lebanon
  • Blogging the Casbah
  • Central Asia
  • Conflicts Forum
  • Copenhagen Mideast Blog
  • Countercurrents
  • Crossroads Arabia
  • Cutler
  • Cyrano's Journal
  • Daily Reckoning
  • DeepakTripathi
  • Democracy Arsenal
  • Electronic Intifada
  • Emergency Times (Pakistan)
  • Empire Burlesque
  • Empire Notes
  • Enduring America
  • Finkelstein on Israel/Palestine
  • Foreign Policy Blogs
  • Foreign Policy Watch
  • Freedom House Blog
  • Friday Lunch Club
  • Gary Sick
  • Get Afghanistan Right
  • Ghosts of Alexander
  • Global Economic Analysis
  • Global Muslim Brotherhood Daily Report
  • Global Research
  • Grand Trunk Road (Pakistan)
  • Green Commons
  • Harvard on Mideast
  • Heavy Metal Colombia
  • Historiae
  • Huffington Post
  • Hybrid States
  • Indus Asia Online Journal
  • Informations et Reflexions
  • Informed Comment
  • Inside the Middle East
  • Intelligence Briefs
  • Iran Affairs
  • Iran Coverage
  • Iran in the Gulf
  • Iran in the World
  • Islam on Line
  • Israel's Occupation
  • Israeli Policy Forum
  • Istanbul Calling
  • J Street
  • Jadaliyya
  • Jerome Slater
  • Jews for Justice for Palestinians
  • Jihadica
  • Jim Lobe
  • Jnoubiyeh
  • Jonathan Cook on Israel
  • Joshua Landis on Syria
  • Just Foreign Policy
  • Just World News (Helena Cobban)
  • Justice Denied - Pakistan
  • Kawther on Palestine
  • Keeping the Change (Iran)
  • Lawrence of Cyberia
  • Lebanese Political Journal
  • Lebanese Politics
  • Lebanon Again
  • Lenin's Tomb
  • Lobe on IPS
  • Mahjood Zweiri
  • MajaGama (Pakistan)
  • Majlis
  • Matters of Principle (Gary Hart)
  • McClatchy Iraq Blog
  • Middle East Monitor
  • Middle East News
  • Middle East News and Comment
  • Middle East Politics
  • Middle East Progress
  • Middle East Studies
  • Mideast Brief
  • Mideast Reality
  • Mondoweiss
  • Nasir Khan
  • New Economic Perspectives
  • News and Comment
  • Newshoggers
  • NIAC Blog
  • Nir Rosen
  • Nur al Cubicle
  • Occident
  • OpEd News
  • Open Democracy
  • Pakistan Paindabad
  • Pakistan Policy Blog
  • Pakistan Politics
  • Pakistan Tea House
  • Palestine Chronicle
  • Pamir Post
  • Planet Iran
  • Power of Narrative
  • Progressive Mind
  • Prospects for Peace (Palestine)
  • Race for Iran
  • Reality, One Bite at a Time
  • Realtime
  • Rebel Reports
  • Reformed Broker
  • Registan
  • Registan
  • Rene Naba (Mideast)
  • Renegade Eye
  • Resilience Alliance
  • Rime Allaf
  • Roads to Iraq
  • Rootless Cosmopolitan
  • Rose-Covered Glasses
  • Samson Blinded (Mideast)
  • Saudi Debate
  • Security Dilemmas
  • Sic Semper Tyrannis
  • Somali News
  • South Jerusalem
  • Speaking Truth to Power
  • Strategic Thinking
  • The Magnes Zionist
  • The Washington Note
  • Tom Dispatch
  • Total Wonker
  • Tribal Wars
  • Urshalim
  • Uskowi on Iran
  • Vineyardsaker on Mideast
  • War and Piece
  • War in Context
  • Watandost (Pakistan)
  • Westhawk
  • William Beeman
  • Wish You Orwell

Global Affairs Readings

  • Akbar, The Shade of Swords
  • Anonymous, Imperial Hubris
  • Atwan, The Secret History of al Qaeda
  • Baer, Sleeping with the Devil
  • Barshamian, Targeting Iran
  • Behr, Une Amerique qui fait peur
  • Bonini & d'Avanzo, Collusion
  • Brzezinski, Second Chance
  • Chomsky, Interventions
  • Cooley, Unholy Wars
  • Diamond, Collapse
  • Everest, Oil Power & Empire
  • Farmer, The Uses of Haiti
  • Johnson, Nemesis
  • Kennedy, The Rise & Fall of Great Powers
  • Khalidi, The Iron Cage
  • Lance, Triple Cross
  • Leech, Killing Peace
  • Levy & Scott-Clark, Deception
  • Politkovskaya, A Dirty War
  • Ponting, A Green History of the World
  • Prestowitz, Rogue Nation
  • Raman, Flashpoint
  • Tainter, The Collapse of Complex Societies
  • Takeyh, Hidden Iran
  • Valencia, Adios a la politica, bienvenida la guerra
  • Zepezauer, Boomerang!

About the Author

General:
PhD, political science, U. of Michigan; observer of global affairs; retired from U.S. Government (last position Director of Methodology, NIC); specialist in applying nonlinear methods to studying the future of international relations, focusing on the Western-Islamic confrontation

Selected Publications:
> NEW! 8/17/12 Tools of the Rich
> NEW! 7/22/12 Enemies of Capitalism
5/23/12 "Mutual Transparency to End the U.S.-Iranian Dispute"
> 4/14/12 "Obama's Iran Dilemma"
> 3/10/12 "Changing Irrational Regimes"
> 2/5/12 "City on the Hill?"
>1/16/12 "Will Netanyahu's Provocations Backfire?"
< 12/23/11 "Iraqi Lessons"
< 11/15/11 "Would Defeating Iran Help Israel?"
> 9/12/11 "Turkish-Egyptian Possibilities"
> 8/29/11 "The Speech Bernanke Should Have Given"
> 6/14/11 "Can Erdogan Save Syria?"
> 6/9/11 "Is Israel Plotting...or Stumbling Toward...Mideast War?"
> 5/25/11 "Wooing Cairo"
> 4/9/11 "How to Spot a Hypocrite...and Understand Washington's Budget War"
> 3/14/11 "Riyadh Foments Counterrevolution"
> 2/24//11 "New Mideast Rules"
> 2/15/11 "A New Mideast Policy?"
> 1/31/11 "Arabs Stand Tall"
> 1/26/11 "Washington's Mideast Dilemma"
> 1/25/11 "Lebanon: Sunnis Fighting Sunnis"
> 12/11/10 "Turkish Opportunities"
> 7/20/10 "Israeli Theocracy"
> 6/7/10 "Turkey's Next Steps Vis-a-Vis Israel"
> 6/6/10 "Iran's Opportunity"
> 4/25/10 "Positive-Sum Mideast Strategy"
> 3/24/10 "American Security & Israel: The Core Issues"
> 3/16/10 "Time for a Change, Washington"
> 3/16/10 "Mideast Peace or Fascism?"
> 2/16/10 "Palestine & Global Security"
> 2/12/10 "'Team Washington' Can't See the Palestinian End Zone"
> Dec 8, 09 "Wanted: An American People's Party"
> Dec 3, 09 "Hammering Islamic Radicals"
> Nov 4, 09 "Defense of the Morally Bankrupt"
> Sep 21, 09 "Iranian Nuclear Dispute: Resolution, not Humiliation"
> Sep 4, 09 "To Entice Tehran, Washington Must 'Get Real'"
> July 1, 09, "A Day in the Life of Israeli Extremists"
> May 31, 09 "Lebanon: Mideast Tipping Point"
> May 27, 09 "Smarter Iran Policy Begins With New Attitude"
> Apr 08, 09 "Managing the Iranian Challenge"
> Apr 04, 09 "Militarism & Financial Excess: Two Sides of the Same Coin"
> Feb 25, 09 "Israeli Sabotage of U.S.-Iranian Detente"
> Jan 29, 09 "Gaza: Laboratory for the Power-Hungry"
> Dec 18, 08 "South Asian Marshall Plan"
> Dec 4, 08 "Mumbai: The 9/11 Precedent"
> "The Challenge of the Times"
> "Pouring Money Down a Rat's Hole"
> "Western-Islamic Confrontation: The Elite vs. the People"
> "U.S.-Iran Talks: Setup for Failure?"
> "Forests or trees: clear thinking about social science systems"
> "A Scenario for decline in America"
> "Reasoning from cases in world affairs"
> "Working smarter: Computers as stimulants for human creativity"
> "The Methodology Tutor: An introduction to new social science research methods"


Media Attention
> NEW! 1/20/12 "Netanyahy's Provocations" cited and discussed on Capitol Hill Blue
> NEW! 1/20/12 "Netanyahy's Provocations" reprinted by Islam Daily
> NEW! 1/17/12 "Netanyahu's Provocations" reprinted by Information Clearinghouse
< 11/16/11 "Would Defeating Iran Help Israel?" reprinted by Nasir Khan blog
> 9/13/11 "Turkish-Egyptian Possibilities" cited by PeaceandJustice, NasirKhan blog, yahyasheikho786
> 6/14/11/ "Can Erdogan Save Syria?" cited by Exposing
> 6/14/11/ "Can Erdogan Save Syria?" reprinted by Pemot
> 6/14/11/ "Can Erdogan Save Syria?" summarized by Turkish Digest
 > 6/9//11/"Is Israel Plotting" summarized on F U Corporate Media
> 6/9//11/ "Is Israel Plotting"cited by Liquida, EIN's World News Report
> 6/9/11 "Is Israel Plotting" reprinted on Sabbah Report, Nasir Khan Blog, Peace and Justice Post
< 5/26/11 "Wooing Cairo" reprinted by There Are No Sunglasses Weblog
< 4/11/11 "Riyadh Foments Counterrevolution" excerpted by Friday Lunch Club
2/2/11 "Washington Needs New Mideast Friends" cited on Political Wind
12/12/10 "Turkish Opportunities" summarized on Erkon's Field Digest, Turkish Digest
12/11/10 "Turkish Opportunities" summarized on Truthfeeds
> 10/12/10 "Modeling U.S.-Iranian Relations" cited on Broken Controllers
>10/4/10 "War Clouds" cited on Broken Controllers
> 6/7/10 "Iran's Opportunity" cited by Tree of Liberty
> 6/7/10 "Turkey's Next Steps" cited by Positive Universe
> 4/29/10 "Mideast Peace or Fascism" reprinted on Free Thought Manifesto
> 4/26/10 "Positive-Sum Mideast Strategy" summarized on Positive Universe, MyNewsHub, Politifi, PDA Illinois
3/1/10 "Time for a Change, Washington"
> 3/16-7/10 Ближневосточный мир или фашизм? ("Mideast Peace or Fascism?") pub. by Rt.Korr Rossiya, Nash Mir; translated & pub. by INOSMI
> Mar 16, 10 "Mideast Peace or Fascism?" excerpted by Naked Facts; cited on Lebanon Wire, Positive Universe
> Mar 14, 10 "Cracking the Washington Groupthink on Israel" cited by Political Wind
> Mar 8, 10 "Is Washington Building a Pro-Iran Coalition?" cited by Political Wind
> NEW! Feb 16-18, 10 "Palestine & Global Security" cited by APPAF, Mind Magician, Positive Universe, Peace by Truth, Sarkhat, MiddleEast
> NEW! Feb 12-13, 10 "Team Washington" cited by Bing, Political Wind, Polskawalczaca, Interceder Net , Silobreaker,
Positive Universe
> Nov. 5, 09 "Defense of the Morally Bankrupt" reprinted by Kanan48, cited by Positive Universe
> July 2-3, 09 "A Day in the Life of Israeli Extremists," reprinted by Terrorism Watch, Silicon Investor chat forum
> June 10, 09 "Mideast Nuclear Umbrella" summarized in Sphere
> May 31, 09 "Lebanon: Mideast Tipping Point" reprinted by Voltaire Net
> May 31, 09 "Lebanon: Mideast Tipping Point" cited by Nuhairi, Positive Universe
> May 27, 09 "Smarter Iran Policy" cited by Wall Street Journal, USA Today, Payvand, INI, Iran War Zone, the Common Ground Blog, Democracy Arsenal, Positive Universe, GULF Research Center, Iran Internet Index, Gulf in the Media
> May 27, 09 "Smarter Iran Policy" reviewed by Homeyra
> May 27, 09 "Smarter Iran Policy" reprinted by Respect Discussion Board, CASMII, Iranquest
> "Israeli Sabotage of U.S.-Iranian Detente" summarized on What Really Happened
> Apr 15, 09 Progressive Mind reprints "Alleviating Iranian Security Concerns"
> Apr 14, 09 Atheo News excerpts "Invading Muslim Societies"
> Apr 14, 09 Bibijon citation of "Managing the Iranian Challenge"
> Apr 14, 09 Newstin, METimes report on "Managing the Iranian Challenge"
> Apr 12, 09 United Progressives cited "Managing the Iranian Challenge"
> Apr 11, 09 Persian Journal report on "Managing the Iranian Challenge"
> Apr 10, 09 Iranian report on "Managing the Iranian Challenge"
> Apr 10, 09 UPI summary of "Managing the Iranian Challenge"
> Apr 9, 09 Human Security Report Project abstract of "Managing the Iranian Challenge"
> Apr 8, 09 NH Peace Action reprints "Managing the Iranian Challenge"
> Apr 6, 09 Carapice reprints "Militarism & Financial Excess"
> Polish translation of "Gaza: Laboratory"
> Feb 25, 09 Atheo News reprints "Israeli Sabotage of U.S.-Iranian Detente"
> Feb 1, 09 The Agonist reprints "Gaza: Laboratory"
> Feb 2, 09 Opinion Artillery features "Gaza: Laboratory"
> Jan-Mar 09 "Gaza Laboratory" cited by Idiedee, MERLIN
> Jan-Mar 09 Democratic Underground features for discussion "Gaza Laboratory"

Recent Presentations:
> NEW! "Modernization of the Islamic World" at Mansfield Center, U. Montana
> "How to Think about War Against Iran" at U. Alaska
> "Future Analysis" at U. Alaska
> "Future Analysis" at ISA
> "Diagnosing the Health of the Global Political System" at RPI
> "Diagnosing the Health of the International Political System" at ISA
> "Nonlinear dynamics in world politics" at UCLA Computational Social Science Conference


Contact me.

william.deb.mills@verizon.net

Blog Archive

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      • Pakistani Conflict: Missing the Point
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Events: Recent

Feb 2011: The U.S. in Afghanistan @ U. Montana
Nov 8-17/07: Working with UAA Political Science Department classes
Nov 9: Working with UAA Air Force ROTC
Nov 9: "Analyzing the Future" - Lecture @ UAA
Nov 8: Interview at Alaska Public Radio
Nov 8: KUDO Radio interview
Nov 8: "How to Think about War against Iran" - Lecture @ University of Alaska, Anchorage

Events: Upcoming


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  • Methods for Analyzing the Future of the Global Political System
  • Personal Website
  • Political Systems Consultancy

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