The Washington elite decision to invade Iraq occurred for reasons that thinking Americans will bitterly debate for much of the rest of this century. Like it or not, the influence of that decision will be heavy on the shoulders of every person alive on earth for the rest of that person’s life. The question now centers on the lessons we all learn.
Lesson #1: War does
not create democracy. If Washington
invaded Iraq to
defend freedom, the invasion was a disaster. The behavior of the U.S.
toward occupied Iraq,
the behavior of U.S.forces in Iraq,
and the behavior of Iraqi politicians during the occupation have all tarnished
the reputation of that ever out-of-reach ideal known as “democracy.”
Lessson #2: The
American way of war destroys societies rather than saving them. If Washington
invaded Iraq to
save the Arab people, its destruction of the most advanced middle class society
in the Arab world makes the failure of that goal crystal clear.
Lesson #3: A flashy
war somewhere else will trick the American people every time. If Washington
invaded Iraq to
keep Bush-Cheney in office, the plan worked brilliantly, rescuing an apparently
doomed administration. Perhaps the worst president in American history was able
to preside over what was, in moral terms, perhaps the most immoral decade in
American history, step nimbly over the thousands of dead civilians, ignore the
tattered remnants of U.S. Constitutional guarantees of civil liberties, and
announce with a grin that being president had been “fun.”
Lesson #4. Empires feast
on war. If Washington invaded
Iraq to build
empire, the lesson to be derived from the perspective of the American people is
quite different from the lesson that an empire-builder would derive. Despite
being fought to a draw by “rag-tag
extremists”—many of whom were
in fact genuine nationalists and having its uniformed forces essentially kicked
out, the empire-builders have much to savor: Iraq remains, sort of, in the U.S.
orbit, with huge and dangerous U.S. mercenary forces evidently planning to
remain. Then there’s that monster
fortress embassy in the Green Zone. As for the ring of real fortresses, the U.S.
military bases, just exactly what is happening to them? More significantly for
empire-builders, the war facilitated the establishment of a larger ring of U.S.
bases throughout the region, not just surrounding Iran
but making clear that, for the moment, the U.S.
is the winner of the Central Asian Great Game that Russia
and Great Britain
used to fight. Of course, the small matter of how to avoid a second
embarrassing “victory”—in Afghanistan—remains to be worked out; some of
our brilliant strategists are now suggesting the (to empire-builders) obvious
solution: expand the failed Afghan adventure to Pakistan.
Lesson #5. Even
winning a war can harm your security. OK, maybe the U.S.
did not exactly “win” the Iraq
war, but it certainly conquered the place and invented its current government.
Yet who in the U.S.
feels more secure? The war empowered bin Laden for years, multiplied anti-U.S.
feeling worldwide, contributed greatly to a continuing U.S.
economic mess, left the country profoundly divided, and left the U.S.
embarrassingly irrelevant in the Arab world, as became obvious when the White
House sat on the sidelines during the heady days of Tahrir
Square. Meanwhile, Iran,
which empire-builders and Likudniks so love to criticize, is manifestly more
significant on the world stage than it was a decade ago. Much more seriously
for real strategic thinkers, Russia
and China are
steadily moving forward with low-cost economic development projects to expand
their global influence while being pushed more and more warmly into a strategic
embrace by the squeeze the U.S.
is putting on them.
Lesson #6. Aggression
is complicated. If Washington
invaded Iraq to
get Iran, well,
Washington transformed Iraq
from Iran’s main enemy into, shall we say, a
very friendly and submissive neighbor: dare we say “Iraq
is Persian for Canada”? And now Washington
is almost throwing Pakistan
as well into Iran’s orbit. In the process, Washington
also taught Iranians at least two lessons that will come back to haunt
Americans. First, Iranian efforts to work with the Bush Administration were accepted
briefly when desperately needed to construct a new Afghan regime, after which Bush immediately insulted Iran
(remember “Axis of Evil”???). Second, tensions with Iran
have greatly empowered Iran’s own militaristic,
super-nationalistic “neo-cons.” Iranians have learned that
hostility toward the U.S.
pays a lot more than cooperation.
Lesson #7. War enriches the rich. This one is harder to contemplate; it's a real conspiracy theory and surely must impute more deviousness to certain factions than they deserve, but if some of those who supported the invasion of Iraq did so to blind the 99.9% to the accelerating shift of power and wealth into the hands of the 0.1%, they certainly achieved what they wanted. One one level, the shift of wealth to the uber-rich occurred directly through the enormous benefits handed to CEOs profitting from the war. On a second level, war tensions distracted Americans. Linking the levels together was an insidious dynamic of rising impoverishment of the 99%, facilitating the task of persuading some of them to sacrifice their lives on the battlefields of empire. That this in fact worked and did so on at least two crucial levels is pretty much beyond dispute; that it was planned from Day 1 is less clear. Nonetheless, now they own it all.
The American people (not the Occupiers; that courageous minority understands the need to defend democracy) are right: a self-satisfied if embarrassed
grin followed by firm denial and a trip to the mall is the only way to deal with this mess. Face up to
reality and we will all need psychiatrists.
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