Wednesday, January 7, 2009

Checking the Facts on Who Is Guilty in Gaza

An excellent new piece of analysis by Nancy Kanwisher, Johannes Haushofer, & Anat Biletzki of data concerning violence and politics between Gaza and Israel reaches the following conclusion:

The lessons from these data are clear:

First, Hamas can indeed control the rockets, when it is in their interest. The data shows that ceasefires can work, reducing the violence to nearly zero for months at a time.

Second, if Israel wants to reduce rocket fire from Gaza, it should cherish and preserve the peace when it starts to break out, not be the first to kill.

Presumably these data on the relationship between Hamas rocket attacks and Israeli behavior will be rapidly covered up and ignored. They put the lie to Israel's claims of being the victim.


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