H1 = If collective punishment is sufficiently harsh, it will force the population to give its support to the oppressor.
If the outcome of Israel’s treatment of Gaza between Hamas’ January 2006 electoral victory and the end of its December 2008 attack teaches the Israeli elite the lesson that barbaric force pays off, the implications for Mideast peace—for Palestinian justice, for Lebanese security, for Syrian hopes to gain back the Golan Heights and settle their dispute with Israel and the U.S., and for preventing an Israeli/American attack on Iran will be put in jeopardy.
In contrast, if the Israeli ruling elite learns the lesson that brutality is both further radicalizing Hamas and simultaneously granting it monopoly ownership of Palestinian nationalism and thereby only undermining Israeli security, then the war may push
Therefore, the lessons that the Israeli elite take away from their savage little
It is hard to imagine how failure to suppress tiny
Evidence of lessons being learned:
1) Defense Minister Ehud Barak said on February 1:
We will never sign an agreement with Hamas.
In other words, Israel will never sign an agreement with the Palestinian political party that won Palestine's only democratic election. This is not only the statement of a man who continues to believe in the efficacy of force but a man who would rather cut off his own nose to spite his face and destroy his own country than admit he was wrong.
2) A commentator wrote in the Jerusalem Post on January 27 that:
If the Israeli-Palestinian conflict cannot be solved in the short term, it has to be managed. But how? The rationale of the disengagement strategy was that, since the conflict seems unsolvable and since the status quo is untenable,
The truth, of course, is dramatically at variance with this version of the historical record. First, Hamas was cheated by
More evidence as I happen to notice it…